Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2023 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 0
Cruz Azul

Hernandez (63', 63')
Moreno (24'), Moreno (24'), Cabral (43'), Cabral (43'), Hernandez (70'), Hernandez (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gudino (27'), Gudino (27'), Ditta (70'), Ditta (70'), Escobar (90+8'), Salcedo (90+10'), Escobar (90+8'), Salcedo (90+10')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Pachuca
Monday, August 21 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Santos Laguna
Monday, August 21 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.

Result
PachucaDrawCruz Azul
49.89% (-0.89 -0.89)24.87% (0.23 0.23)25.24% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.403 -0.4)49.97% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.359 -0.36)71.96% (0.354 0.35)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.523 -0.52)20.05% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.844 -0.84)52.26% (0.837 0.84)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.34299999999999 0.34)34.37% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.368 0.37)71.08% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 49.88%
    Cruz Azul 25.24%
    Draw 24.86%
PachucaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.88%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Pachuca
0-2
Cruz Azul
Rotondi (9'), Huescas (67')
Jul 10, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Cruz Azul
1-2
Pachuca
Mar 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 11
Pachuca
1-0
Cruz Azul
Sanchez (18')
Sanchez (53')

Rodriguez (76'), Escobar (80')
Aug 30, 2021 2am
Gameweek 7
Cruz Azul
1-1
Pachuca
Gimenez (59')
Rodriguez (45+6')
Yotun (23' og.)
Hurtado (39')
May 23, 2021 2am
Cruz Azul
1-0
Pachuca
Gimenez (51')
Aguilar (67'), Gimenez (90+3')

Sanchez (68')
Cabral (90+5')