Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.