Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 1
Monterrey

Martinez (4', 4')
Olmedo Pereira (87'), Olmedo (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Funes Mori (30', 30')
Cortizo (26'), Cortizo (26'), Govea (40'), Govea (40'), Vegas (45+1'), Vegas (45+1')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Puebla
Friday, September 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 3-0 Monterrey
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawMonterrey
29.46% (0.073 0.07)24.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)46.24% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.73% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)44.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)66.99% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.073000000000008 0.07)28.35% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.093000000000004 0.09)64.09% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)51.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 29.46%
    Monterrey 46.24%
    Draw 24.29%
PueblaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 46.24%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 1.05am
Jul 27, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
1-0
Puebla
Martinez (82'), Maia (85')
Feb 19, 2022 1am
Jul 26, 2021 1.06am
Gameweek 1
Monterrey
1-1
Puebla
Meza (88')
Gutierrez (75'), Vegas (82')
Gutierrez (85')
Tabo (90+2')
Araujo (87')
Segovia (42'), Tabo (90+4')
Feb 3, 2021 3am
Gameweek 3
Puebla
0-0
Monterrey
Maia (50')
Layun (61')
rhs 2.0


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