Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.