Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Tijuana

Alvarado (67', 67')
Orozco (47'), Orozco (47'), Alvarado (63'), Alvarado (63'), Rios (90+5'), Rios (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balanta (47'), Balanta (47'), Diaz (90+7'), Diaz (90+7')
Cavallini (45+4'), Cavallini (45+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, July 15 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub Tijuana
50.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)22.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.05% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)62.83% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.0039999999999907 0)16.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)45.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)28.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)64.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 50.73%
    Club Tijuana 26.36%
    Draw 22.91%
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 26.36%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (39' pen., 90' pen.)
Lertora (26')
Sep 8, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 13
Tijuana
1-2
Guadalajara
Di Santo (58')
Alvarado (47'), Olivas (67')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Perez (54')
Orozco (45+4')

Barbona (60'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
0-0
Guadalajara
Zaldivar (57'), Briseno (71')
Apr 18, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Guadalajara
2-0
Tijuana
Vega (49'), Angulo (79')