Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.