Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Oct 5, 2023 at 4am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
2 - 2
Toluca

Angulo (45+5', 45+5'), Gignac (76', 76')
Gignac (48'), Gignac (48'), Carioca (63'), Carioca (63'), Angulo (68'), Angulo (68'), Herrera (90+9'), Flores (90+9'), Herrera (90+9'), Flores (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ruiz (44', 44'), Morales (90+4', 90+4')
Meneses (24'), Meneses (24'), Isais (59'), Isais (59'), Morales (77'), Morales (77'), Ruiz (90+2'), Ruiz (90+2')
Meneses (45+2'), Meneses (45+2')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Tigres
Sunday, October 1 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Next Game: Pachuca vs. Tigres
Sunday, October 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX

Next Game: Toluca vs. Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
54.06% ( -0.36)	22.56% ( 0.19)	23.38% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

-0.66)

41.71% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89% (

-0.67)

64.11% (

0.68)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

-0.35)

15.4% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

-0.66)

44.21% (

0.67)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-0.21)

31.46% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

-0.24)

67.84% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Tigres 54.06%

Toluca 23.38%

Draw 22.56%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.06%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 23.38%