Liga MX | Gameweek 9

Sep 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 1
America

Araujo (54')
Huerta (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Valdes (25')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 16 at 4am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Club America

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 America
Thursday, September 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club America
28.52% ( 0.34)	23.56% ( 0.19)	47.92% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 59.62% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.16% (

-0.63)

41.84% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75% (

-0.64)

64.24% (

0.64)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

-0.09)

27.59% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-0.11)

63.12% (

0.11)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.44)

17.66% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.71% (

-0.78)

48.29% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Toluca 28.52%

Club America 47.92%

Draw 23.56%

Toluca	Draw	Club America
2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.52%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.81% Total : 47.92%