Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
43.46% ( -0.02)	25.2% ( 0.01)	31.34% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

-0.02)

47.73% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07% (

-0.02)

69.92% (

0.03)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

-0.02)

21.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

-0.03)

55.22% (

0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

28.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

64.45% (

Score Analysis

Club Tijuana 43.46%

Toluca 31.34%

Draw 25.19%

Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.46%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.34%