Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Sep 21, 2023 at 3.06am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 2
America

Zuniga (11', 11')
Lertora (82'), Lertora (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Valdes (52', 52'), Lichnovsky (78', 78')
Alvarez (62'), Alvarez (62'), Quinones (82'), Quinones (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Club America, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla
Monday, September 18 at 12am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: America 4-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 17 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawClub America
21.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)23.93% (-0.012 -0.01)54.69% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.84% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (0.044 0.04)71.84% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)37.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (0.02 0.02)74.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)18.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)49.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 21.39%
    Club America 54.68%
    Draw 23.93%
QueretaroDrawClub America
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.68%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 1
America
0-0
Queretaro
Aug 24, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Queretaro
0-1
America
Mar 2, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
America
1-1
Queretaro
Valdez (5' pen.)
Zendejas (40'), Naveda (74'), Valdez (90+4'), dos Santos (90+7')
Zendejas (45+2')
Sepulveda (90+5' pen.)
Balanta (43'), Barrera (43')
Romagnoli (58')
Jul 23, 2021 3am
Gameweek 1
Queretaro
0-0
America
Perg (26'), Torres (66')
Martinez (32'), Reyes Chavez (88')
Feb 14, 2021 3am
Gameweek 5
America
2-1
Queretaro
Naveda (26'), Martin (84')
Sepulveda (45')