Club Leon
Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
1 - 0
Toluca

Lopez (39', 39')
Mena (67'), Mena (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Morales (45+3'), Morales (45+3'), Angulo (75'), Lopez (75'), Baeza (87'), Baeza (87'), Lopez (89')
Dominguez (83'), Dominguez (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Club Leon
Monday, October 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawToluca
58.39% (-0.356 -0.36)20.96% (0.139 0.14)20.65% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.33% (-0.354 -0.35)37.67% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.09% (-0.381 -0.38)59.91% (0.384 0.38)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.214 -0.21)12.69% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.11% (-0.447 -0.45)38.89% (0.45 0.45)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 58.39%
    Toluca 20.65%
    Draw 20.96%
Club LeonDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Toluca
0-0
Club Leon
Jul 27, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 5
Club Leon
0-1
Toluca
Ambriz (17'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ambriz (53')
Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')
May 2, 2022 2.06am
Gameweek 17
Club Leon
4-4
Toluca
Davila (18'), Mena (23'), Meneses (37'), Barreiro (90+3')
Gonzalez (14'), Fernandez (26'), Rodriguez (33' og.), Canelo (58')
Huerta (32'), Garcia (85')
Oct 31, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
0-0
Club Leon
Vanegas (2')
Tesillo (27'), Gigliotti (87')
May 10, 2021 1am
Club Leon
2-2
Toluca
 Toluca win 4-2 on penalties
Davila (45+1'), Ambriz (89')
Castaneda (18'), Canelo (58')