Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Oct 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 1
Queretaro

Lopez (2', 66'), Volpi (58' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanvezzo (40')
Gularte (36'), Barrera (61'), Escamilla (76')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Toluca
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Queretaro

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 4-0 Queretaro
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
53.17% ( 2.26)	22.67% ( -0.36)	24.16% ( -1.9)

Both teams to score 58.57% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.63% (

-0.15)

41.37% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.23% (

-0.15)

63.76% (

0.14)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

0.73)

15.58% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

1.36)

44.55% (

-1.36)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

-1.58)

30.61% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.14% (

-1.91)

66.85% (

1.9)

Score Analysis

Toluca 53.17%

Queretaro 24.16%

Draw 22.66%

Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.16%