Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 3
Queretaro

Rotondi (45+5')
Rotondi (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin Sandoval (50'), Zuniga (77'), Cordero (87')
Lertora (33'), Zuniga (78'), Gularte (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, September 16 at 1.50am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 America
Thursday, September 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawQueretaro
46.88% (-0.225 -0.23)25.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.66% (0.251 0.25)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.263 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (0.258 0.26)50.67% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.226 0.23)72.57% (-0.223 -0.22)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.331 0.33)32.78% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.368 0.37)69.34% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 46.88%
    Queretaro 27.66%
    Draw 25.45%
Cruz AzulDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 4
Queretaro
2-2
Cruz Azul
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (57'), Barbieri (85')
Escoboza (42'), Lotti (89')
Aug 27, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Cruz Azul
2-1
Queretaro
Rotondi (33'), Tabo (83')
Estrada (26'), Carneiro (54'), Rotondi (60'), (81'), (90')
Morales (56')
Aboagye (78')
Sequeira (31'), Aguerre (90+3')
Apr 22, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Queretaro
0-1
Cruz Azul
Tabo (58')
Sep 20, 2021 1am
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
2-0
Queretaro
Martinez (88')
Jan 31, 2021 3am