Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.