Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 1
Puebla

Di Yorio (7', 7')
Sanchez (52'), Sanchez (52'), Almada (53'), Almada (53'), Ortiz (72'), Ortiz (72')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Velasco (12', 12')
de los Santos (90+5'), de los Santos (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 21 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, October 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawPuebla
50.32% (0.486 0.49)23.99% (0.059000000000001 0.06)25.68% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.72% (-0.712 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.702 -0.7)45.89% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.671 -0.67)68.2% (0.669 0.67)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)18.28% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.135 -0.13)49.35% (0.13399999999999 0.13)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)31.81% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.933 -0.93)68.24% (0.93199999999999 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 50.32%
    Puebla 25.68%
    Draw 23.98%
PachucaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 25.68%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 1
Pachuca
5-1
Puebla
Chavez (5'), Ibanez (9', 71'), Lopez (62'), Alvarez (65')
Barragan (45' pen.)
Sep 8, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Puebla
2-2
Pachuca
Ibanez (78'), Tapias (90')
Apr 20, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Pachuca
1-0
Puebla
Oct 2, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Puebla
1-2
Pachuca
Gularte (20')
Hurtado (20'), Angel Herrera (66')
Apr 13, 2021 3am
Gameweek 13
Pachuca
1-3
Puebla
Sanchez (48')
Alvarez (28'), Antonio Figueroa Diaz (88')
Araujo (2'), Perg (66'), Reyes Chavez (90+6')
Tabo (71'), Aguilar (81')