Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 52%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.