Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.