Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Tigres

Pachuca
1 - 1
Tigres

Gonzalez (20', 20')
Almada (27'), Castillo (49'), Castillo (49'), Almada (49'), (74')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gignac (8' pen., 8' pen.)
Cordova (25'), Cordova (26'), Lainez (65'), (65'), Lainez (65')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: America 4-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, October 4 at 4am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Toluca
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawTigres
36.82% (-0.66 -0.66)25.99% (-0.187 -0.19)37.19% (0.845 0.84)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.646 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.815 0.81)50.12% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (0.722 0.72)72.09% (-0.72200000000001 -0.72)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.43% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.87 0.87)26.22% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (1.151 1.15)61.32% (-1.153 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 36.82%
    Tigres 37.19%
    Draw 25.99%
PachucaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.19%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Tigres
4-1
Pachuca
Oct 17, 2022 3.06am
Pachuca
2-1
Tigres
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (19'), Lopez (68')
Pizarro (64')
Oct 14, 2022 3.06am
Tigres
1-0
Pachuca
Aug 8, 2022 12.05am
Gameweek 7
Pachuca
2-0
Tigres
Apr 8, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Pachuca
2-1
Tigres