Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.