Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Oct 8, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 1
Juarez

Meza (6' pen., 6' pen.), Funes Mori (28', 28', 46', 46')
Romo (17'), Romo (17'), Andrada (64'), Andrada (64'), Govea (90+3'), Moreno (90+3'), Govea (90+3'), Moreno (90+3')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Hurtado (52' pen., 52' pen.)
Campillo (5'), Campillo (5'), Vukcevic (66'), Vukcevic (66'), Oliva (70'), Oliva (70'), Santos (90+3'), Santos (90+3')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Monterrey
Wednesday, October 4 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 5-1 Juarez
Saturday, September 30 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Juarez
56.22% ( -0.15)	22.78% ( -0.04)	21.01% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

0.42)

45.47% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

0.4)

67.8% (

-0.4)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

0.1)

15.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71% (

0.17)

45.29% (

-0.18)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

0.42)

35.74% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

0.43)

72.51% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 56.22%

Juarez 21.01%

Draw 22.77%

Monterrey	Draw	Juarez
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 56.22%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.01%