Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.