Liga MX | Gameweek 15

Nov 2, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
2 - 0
Juarez

Sepulveda (14', 14'), Uriel (62', 62')
Huescas (34'), Huescas (34'), Escobar (64'), Escobar (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia (81'), Garcia (81'), Campillo (88'), Campillo (88')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Club Leon
Sunday, October 29 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 5-1 Juarez
Monday, October 30 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
46.28% ( 1.24)	24.76% ( -0.05)	28.95% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 55.81% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.41)

46.99% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.39)

69.24% (

0.39)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.37)

20.37% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

0.58)

52.78% (

-0.59)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-1.04)

29.91% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

-1.28)

66.01% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 46.28%

Juarez 28.95%

Draw 24.77%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.95%