Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Oct 26, 2023 at 4.06am UK

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
3 - 2
Atletico San Luis

Chavez (12', 12'), Garcia (35', 38'), Hurtado (51', 51')
Santos (36'), Santos (36'), Saucedo (39'), Pelua (70'), Pelua (70'), (86')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Vitinho (62', 62'), Manuel Sanabria (70', 70')
Guemez (14'), Guemez (14'), Murillo (54'), Murillo (54'), Dourado (82'), Dourado (82'), Garcia (86'), Garcia (86')
Guemez (73'), Guemez (73')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 21 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Atletico San Luis

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Necaxa
Monday, October 23 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Atletico San Luis
44.65%	25.24% ( 0.16)	30.11% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

-0.78)

48.43% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

-0.72)

70.56% (

0.71)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.33)

21.69% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

-0.5)

54.83% (

0.5)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.51)

29.83% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

-0.62)

65.91% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Juarez 44.65%

Atletico San Luis 30.11%

Draw 25.23%

Juarez	Draw	Atletico San Luis
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.11%