Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
3 - 2
Mazatlan

Guemez (18', 18'), Bonatini (45+4', 45+4'), Vitinho (67', 67')
Villalpando (35'), Villalpando (35'), Dominguez (60'), Dominguez (60')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Loba (72', 72', 87', 87')
Intriago (27'), Intriago (27'), Rescalvo Sanchez (28'), Esquivel (45+2'), Olivas (45+3'), Esquivel (45+2'), Olivas (45+3'), Loba (90+5'), Diaz (90+6'), Loba (90+4'), Diaz (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, September 17 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, September 16 at 1.50am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawMazatlan
51.38% (0.325 0.32)24.03% (0.031000000000002 0.03)24.58% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.48 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.458 -0.46)47.04% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.43 -0.43)69.28% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)18.31% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.4% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.551 -0.55)33.34% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.609 -0.61)69.96% (0.604 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 51.38%
    Mazatlan 24.58%
    Draw 24.03%
Atletico San LuisDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Atletico San Luis
2-1
Mazatlan
Vidrio (40' og.), Zaldivar (56' pen.)
Bello (49')
Jul 23, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Mazatlan
1-1
Atletico San Luis
Sosa (35' pen.)
Hernandez (38')
Apr 2, 2022 3am
Aug 28, 2021 1am
Feb 13, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 5
Mazatlan
0-3
Atletico San Luis
Ibanez (16', 38'), Berterame (62')