Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.