Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
Club Leon

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Club Leon

Sepulveda (16', 16')
Escobar (29'), Escobar (29'), Rodriguez (75'), Rodriguez (75'), Castano (90'), Castano (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rubio (50'), Rubio (50'), Sanchez (70'), Sanchez (70'), Bellon (80'), Bellon (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, October 22 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Atlas
Wednesday, October 25 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
33.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.02% (-0.07 -0.07)40.12% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44% (0.304 0.3)50.56% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.269 0.27)72.48% (-0.268 -0.27)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.151 0.15)28.42% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.192 0.19)64.17% (-0.191 -0.19)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (0.172 0.17)24.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (0.238 0.24)59.42% (-0.237 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 33.85%
    Club Leon 40.12%
    Draw 26.02%
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.12%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2.05am
Oct 9, 2022 3.15am
Sep 16, 2022 1am
Gameweek 16
Cruz Azul
2-1
Club Leon
Estrada (82'), Escoboza (90+2')
Huescas (57' og.)
Feb 8, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Club Leon
0-1
Cruz Azul
Uriel (30')
Reynoso (55')
Nov 4, 2021 3am
Gameweek 11
Cruz Azul
0-1
Club Leon

Escobar (68'), Aguilar (78')
Rivera (31' og.)
Barreiro (58'), Cota (88'), Mena (90+1')