Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Club Leon

Puebla
5 - 4
Club Leon

Martinez (5', 19', 19', 51', 51', 83', 83'), de Buen (79', 79'), Sansores (90+3', 90+3')
Martinez (15'), Martinez (15'), Carbajal (16'), Ferrareis (30'), Ferrareis (30'), Velasco (43'), Velasco (43'), Olmedo (55'), Olmedo (55'), Sansores (90+9'), Sansores (90+9')
FT(HT: 3-6)
Vinas (10', 10', 45+1', 45+1'), Lopez (45', 45'), Fernandez (90+1', 90+1')
Lopez (55'), Tesillo (78'), Tesillo (78'), Romero (90+8'), Romero (90+8')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Puebla
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Pumas
Wednesday, November 1 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawClub Leon
28.44% (0.555 0.56)23.99% (0.175 0.18)47.57% (-0.73 -0.73)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)43.85% (0.426 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (-0.415 -0.41)66.24% (0.417 0.42)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.181 0.18)28.67% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.22300000000001 0.22)64.49% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.45599999999999 -0.46)18.58% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (-0.772 -0.77)49.85% (0.772 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 28.44%
    Club Leon 47.57%
    Draw 23.99%
PueblaDrawClub Leon
2-1 @ 7% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.44%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 47.57%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Club Leon
2-0
Puebla
Di Yorio (64')
Jul 16, 2022 1am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Club Leon
0-1
Puebla

Tesillo (18'), Barreiro (28'), Colombatto (64')
Hernandez (3')
Aristeguieta (43')
Salas (34'), Segovia (45+1'), Herrera Rodriguez (62'), Reyes (63'), Aristeguieta (69'), Parra (73'), (90+6')
Parra (77'), Vazquez (90+3')
Nov 29, 2021 2.05am
Club Leon
2-0
Puebla
Mena (24', 79' pen.)
Tesillo (29')

Salas (13'), Ferrareis (14'), de Buen (54'), Reyes (77'), Aristeguieta (83')
Nov 26, 2021 1am
Puebla
2-1
Club Leon
Corral (39'), Reyes (70'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+2')
Cota (75')