Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.