Liga MX | Gameweek 16

Nov 5, 2023 at 3.05am UK

Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Cruz Azul

Padilla (90+7', 90+7')
Gutierrez (39'), Gutierrez (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castano (41'), Castano (41'), Sepulveda (68'), Sepulveda (68'), Ditta (90+2'), Ditta (90+2')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
43.09% ( -0.23)	24.85% ( 0.01)	32.05% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

0.01)

45.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

68.26% (

-0.01)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.1)

21.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0.16)

54.33% (

0.15)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.13)

27.31% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.18)

62.75% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 43.09%

Cruz Azul 32.05%

Draw 24.85%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.05%