Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Barrera (55' pen., 55' pen.)
Garcia (39'), Garcia (39')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Gutierrez (10', 10'), Alvarado (34' pen., 34' pen.)
Marin (80'), Marin (80'), Sanchez (90+5'), Sanchez (90+5')
Marin (83'), Marin (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Queretaro
Saturday, October 28 at 4am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-4 Tigres
Sunday, October 29 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
31.12% (-0.044 -0.04)27.32% (0.038 0.04)41.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.92% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.163 -0.16)56.42% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.132 -0.13)77.43% (0.125 0.13)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (-0.116 -0.12)33.21% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.127 -0.13)69.81% (0.12 0.12)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.75% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)62.02% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 31.12%
    CD Guadalajara 41.55%
    Draw 27.32%
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.55%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
1-1
Queretaro
Mayorga (90+2')
Barrera (78')
Jul 28, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Queretaro
2-2
Guadalajara
Nahuelpan (45+1'), Osuna (90' pen.)
Perez Bouquet (26'), Vega (81' pen.)
Jan 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-1
Queretaro
Vega (42')
Sepulveda (62'), Flores (63'), Huerta (85')
Sequeira (2')
Perg (8'), Torres (24'), Enrique Angulo (37'), Martinez (41'), Sequeira (54'), Hernandez (90+2'), Aguerre (90+4'), Romagnoli (90+9')
Sep 30, 2021 3.15am
Gameweek 11
Queretaro
1-0
Guadalajara
Escamilla (10')
Mar 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 8
Queretaro
2-2
Guadalajara
Montes (60'), Mendoza (80')
Torres (73'), Calderon (80'), Brizuela (83'), (90+2')