Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.