Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.