Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.