Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 3
Mazatlan

Zapata (22', 22')
Rocha (54'), Rocha (54'), Nervo (66'), Nervo (66')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Loba (12', 12', 32', 32'), Maduena (90+7', 90+7')
Alvarado (64'), Alvarado (64'), Gonzalez (88'), Gonzalez (88'), Diaz (90+5'), Diaz (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, October 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 America
Saturday, October 7 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawMazatlan
55.59% (-0.544 -0.54)22.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.57% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.377 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.18 0.18)45.06% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.172 0.17)67.41% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.123 -0.12)16.06% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.226 -0.23)45.43% (0.226 0.23)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.545 0.55)34.96% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (0.566 0.57)71.7% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 55.58%
    Mazatlan 21.57%
    Draw 22.84%
AtlasDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Atlas
2-1
Mazatlan
Sep 8, 2022 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Benedetti (32')
Apr 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 14
Atlas
1-2
Mazatlan
Oct 16, 2021 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Sanvezzo (7' pen.)
Antonio Padilla (54'), Rubio (58'), Freitas (80')

Reyes (5'), Nervo (35'), Chala (43')
Reyes (17')
Apr 17, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
0-0
Atlas