Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
0 - 2
Pachuca


Lozano (8'), Lozano (8'), Bass (27'), Bass (27'), Robles (41'), Robles (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hernandez (18', 18'), Sanchez (81', 81')
Terans (35'), Terans (35'), Idrissi (85'), Idrissi (85')
Idrissi (85'), Idrissi (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Atlas
Monday, October 30 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawPachuca
41.49% (1.674 1.67)24.52% (0.341 0.34)33.99% (-2.016 -2.02)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-1.666 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (-1.99 -1.99)43.82% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (-1.975 -1.98)66.21% (1.976 1.98)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)21.2% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.102 -0.1)54.08% (0.103 0.1)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-2.048 -2.05)25.1% (2.048 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (-2.918 -2.92)59.79% (2.917 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 41.49%
    Pachuca 33.99%
    Draw 24.51%
AtlasDrawPachuca
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.682 0.68)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.517 0.52)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.261 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.449 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.99%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12am
Gameweek 15
Atlas
4-1
Pachuca
Aug 26, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 16
Pachuca
3-1
Atlas
Ibanez (62' pen.), Chavez (75'), Lopez (90+1')
Herrera (67')
May 30, 2022 2.10am
Pachuca
2-1
Atlas
Ibarra (7'), Ibanez (45+9')
Furch (45' pen.)
May 27, 2022 3am
Atlas
2-0
Pachuca
Reyes (26')
Chala (58'), Rocha (70'), Furch (76')

Cabral (70'), Sanchez (90+6')
Mar 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Atlas
0-1
Pachuca

Rocha (73')
De la Rosa (87')
Tapias (2'), Alvarez (81')