Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.