Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
0 - 2
Monterrey


Almada (0'), Almada (0'), Cabral (83'), Cabral (83'), Rodriguez (90+3'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Berterame (13', 13'), Funes Mori (27', 27')
Lopez (80'), Lopez (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 0-2 Pachuca
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Necaxa
Wednesday, November 1 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawMonterrey
36.6% (0.67 0.67)25.44% (0.198 0.2)37.96% (-0.871 -0.87)
Both teams to score 56.16% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (-0.851 -0.85)47.7% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (-0.791 -0.79)69.9% (0.789 0.79)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)25.43% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)60.25% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.845 -0.84)24.68% (0.844 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.197 -1.2)59.21% (1.196 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 36.6%
    Monterrey 37.96%
    Draw 25.44%
PachucaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.296 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.6%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.96%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Pachuca
1-2
Monterrey
Hinestroza (3')
Gallardo (17'), Cortizo (53')
Oct 24, 2022 2.06am
Oct 21, 2022 3.06am
Pachuca
5-2
Monterrey
Ibanez (9', 87' pen., 90+2'), Ibarra (23'), De la Fuente (48')
Moreno (16'), Romo (42')
Oct 1, 2022 11.05pm
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 16
Pachuca
3-0
Monterrey
Chavez (17', 75'), De la Rosa (71')
Alvarez (45+4'), Ibarra (53')

Campbell (70'), Meza (90+3')