Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Oct 26, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 1
Tijuana

Funes Mori (30', 30'), Gallardo (36', 36'), Lopez (60', 60')
Funes Mori (11'), Funes Mori (11'), Vegas (65'), Vegas (65')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Gonzalez (90+3', 90+3')
Diaz (14'), Diaz (14')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, October 22 at 7pm in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Tijuana
Sunday, October 22 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawClub Tijuana
61.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)21.04% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)17.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37% (0.198 0.2)43.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (0.193 0.19)66.02% (-0.196 -0.2)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.091000000000008 0.09)13.57% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.182 0.18)40.68% (-0.184 -0.18)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.13% (0.077000000000005 0.08)38.86% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (0.073 0.07)75.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 61.81%
    Club Tijuana 17.13%
    Draw 21.04%
MonterreyDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 61.81%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.13%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2.15am
Gameweek 13
Monterrey
4-0
Tijuana
Aug 29, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Tijuana
0-3
Monterrey

Contreras (21')
Flores (38')
Berterame (61'), Aguirre (73' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Aguirre (23')
May 1, 2022 1.06am
Gameweek 17
Monterrey
2-0
Tijuana
Aug 28, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 7
Tijuana
2-2
Monterrey
Lorona (40'), Manotas (82')
Funes Mori (18'), Rodriguez (37')
Feb 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 7
Monterrey
1-1
Tijuana
Meza (40')
Vegas (90+1')
Manotas (89')
Rivera (33'), Jara (64')