Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.