Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
2 - 1
Tijuana

Preciado (17', 17'), Torres (78', 78')
Aquino (20'), Aquino (20'), Vergara (45+2'), Vergara (45+2'), Repetto (75'), (80'), Hipolito Holguin Perez (90+6'), Hipolito Holguin Perez (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rodriguez (25', 25')
Herrera (21'), Herrera (21'), Rivera (78'), Rivera (78'), Rivera (79'), Rivera (79+79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-5 Necaxa
Monday, September 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 5-1 Juarez
Saturday, September 30 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawClub Tijuana
55.79% (0.363 0.36)22.61% (-0.24 -0.24)21.61% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.616 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (0.902 0.9)43.97% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (0.876 0.88)66.36% (-0.875 -0.88)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.44 0.44)15.61% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4% (0.811 0.81)44.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (0.39099999999999 0.39)34.31% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (0.416 0.42)71.01% (-0.416 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 55.79%
    Club Tijuana 21.61%
    Draw 22.61%
Santos LagunaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.72% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 55.79%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.61%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Santos Laguna
3-2
Tijuana
Correa (45', 52'), Doria (74')
Canelo (45+4'), Rodriguez (60')
Aug 26, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Tijuana
0-2
Santos Laguna
Brunetta (56'), Correa (78')
Mar 14, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Santos Laguna
4-0
Tijuana
Aguirre (15'), Medina (89'), Preciado (90+5')
Lopez (90+5')
Sep 11, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
2-1
Santos Laguna
Lorona (45+2'), Pavez (56'), Manotas (83')
Otero (51'), Prieto (77'), Doria (90+7')
Mar 14, 2021 3.06am