Liga MX | Gameweek 1

Jan 14, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 0
Puebla

Gonzalez (46', 51'), Berterame (89', 90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (60'), Gonzalez (65'), Angulo (77'), Angulo (82'), de Buen (84'), de Buen (90')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions

Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, December 3 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 3-0 Puebla
Monday, December 4 at 2.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Puebla
68.46% ( -0.52)	18.26% ( 0.27)	13.27% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.13% (

-0.68)

38.87% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81% (

-0.72)

61.19% (

0.73)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.65% (

-0.31)

10.35% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.17% (

-0.71)

33.83% (

0.72)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

-0.07)

41.07% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

-0.06)

77.62% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 68.46%

Puebla 13.27%

Draw 18.27%

Monterrey	Draw	Puebla
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.46%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.27%	1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 13.27%