Tigres
Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Dec 4, 2023 at 2.10am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
3 - 0
Puebla

Gignac (9' pen., 9' pen., 33', 33'), Ibanez (72', 72')
Carioca (45'), Carioca (45'), Herrera (75'), Herrera (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Barragan (5'), Barragan (5'), Silva (69'), Silva (69')
Carabajal (89'), Carabajal (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Tigres
Friday, December 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Tigres
Friday, December 1 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawPuebla
61% (1.205 1.21)21.56% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)17.44% (-1.151 -1.15)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-2.055 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-1.63 -1.63)45.37% (1.633 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-1.578 -1.58)67.7% (1.58 1.58)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61% (-0.157 -0.16)14.39% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.72% (-0.307 -0.31)42.28% (0.31 0.31)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46% (-2.282 -2.28)39.54% (2.285 2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (-2.185 -2.19)76.22% (2.186 2.19)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 60.99%
    Puebla 17.44%
    Draw 21.55%
TigresDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.69 0.69)
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 60.99%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.44%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 1am
Puebla
2-2
Tigres
Martinez (44'), Olmedo (49')
Velasco (58')
Cordova (38'), Fulgencio (75')
Quinones (65'), Lainez (81')
Jul 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 1
Tigres
1-1
Puebla
Ibanez (90+3')
Guzman (48')
Angulo (47')
Silva (13'), Angulo (60'), Barragan (62'), Ferrareis (64'), Quinones (90+6')
May 8, 2023 4.10am
Apr 21, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Tigres
1-0
Puebla
Sep 17, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Puebla
2-1
Tigres