Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Club Leon
51.86% ( 0.02)	23.29% ( 0)	24.85% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.49% (

-0.04)

43.51% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.1% (

-0.04)

65.9% (

0.04)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.01)

16.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-0.02)

46.79% (

0.01)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.04)

31.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

-0.05)

67.55% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 51.86%

Club Leon 24.85%

Draw 23.28%

Pachuca	Draw	Club Leon
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.86%	1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.85%