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-
Juan Dominguez
17'
-
Federico Pereira
24'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
30'
-
Marcel Ruiz
45'
-
Brian Garcia
48'
-
Jesus Angulo
79'
-
Alexis Vega
86'
-
Nicolas Lopez
47'
Toluca vs Club Leon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result
Toluca
50.18%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
22.88%
▼
(-0.07)
Club Leon
26.94%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
60.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.21%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
39.79%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
37.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
62.14%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
20.45%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
79.55%
▼
(-0.12)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5
83.95%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
16.05%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
54.58%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
45.42%
▼
(-0.29)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5
72.36%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
27.64%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
36.81%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
63.18%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Toluca
50.18%
Draw
22.87%
Club Leon
26.94%
Toluca
2-1
@
9.55%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 50.18%
1-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 50.18%
Draw
1-1
@
10.43%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.87%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.87%
Club Leon
1-2
@
6.71%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 26.94%
Head to Head
-
27'
-
Nicolas Lopez
39'
-
Nicolas Lopez
39'
-
Angel Mena
67'
-
Angel Mena
67'
-
Robert Morales
45'+3'
-
Robert Morales
45'+3'
-
Jesus Angulo
75'
-
Edgar Lopez
75'
-
Juan Dominguez
83'
-
Juan Dominguez
83'
-
Claudio Baeza
87'
-
Claudio Baeza
87'
-
Edgar Lopez
89'
-
Fidel Ambriz
16'
-
Fidel Ambriz
17'
-
Luis Montes
25'
-
Luis Montes
27'
-
Lucas Di Yorio
35'
-
Lucas Di Yorio
36'
-
Fidel Ambriz
51'
-
Fidel Ambriz
53'
-
Jaine Barreiro
85'
-
Paul Bellon
90'+4'
-
Osvaldo Rodriguez
90'+6'
-
Fernando Navarro
25'
-
Jordan Sierra
25'
-
Fernando Navarro
26'
-
Jordan Sierra
27'
-
Daniel Alvarez
90'