Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jan 27, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Fernando Navarro 23' goal
  • Fernando Navarro 23' goal
  • Miguel Sansores 41' yellowcard
  • Miguel Sansores 41' yellowcard
  • Diego de Buen 54' yellowcard
  • Diego de Buen 54' yellowcard
  • Kevin Velasco 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Velasco 62' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Morales 45'+3'
  • goal Robert Morales 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 56'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 56'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 63'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 63'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 73'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 74'

Puebla vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 1.00am
Puebla 1 - 2 Necaxa

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 11.00pm
Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Puebla 30.57%
Draw 23.22% (+0.01)
Toluca 46.2% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.21%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.98%
Under 2.5 39.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.66%
Under 3.5 61.34% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.07%
Under 4.5 78.92% (+0.01)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 75.17%
Under 0.5 24.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.58%
Under 1.5 59.42% (+0.01)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 82.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.24% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.46%
Under 1.5 47.54% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Puebla 30.57%
Draw 23.22%
Toluca 46.2%
Puebla
2-1 @ 7.3%
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
Toluca
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 46.2%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Maximiliano Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 76' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 76' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 45'
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 45'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 78'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 78'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtémoc
  • Facundo Waller 75' goal
  • goal Edgar Lopez 8'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 15'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Aug 3, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Valber Huerta 24' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 56' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 67' redcard
  • Andres Mosquera 83' goal
  • goal Omar Fernandez 17'
  • yellowcard Martin Barragan 32'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 38'
  • yellowcard Ivo Vazquez 39'
  • yellowcard Daniel Aguilar 51'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 57'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Apr 3, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kevin Castaneda 19' goal
  • Valber Huerta 45' goal
  • Haret Ortega 47' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 78' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 81' yellowcard
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Robles 39'
  • goal Israel Reyes 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Martin Barragan 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christian Tabo 60' goal
  • Guillermo Martinez 62' yellowcard
  • Alberto Herrera Rodriguez 85' yellowcard
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 62'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 21, 2021 6.00pm
4
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Haret Ortega 18' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 32' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 46' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 53' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 77' goal
  • Michael Estrada 87' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Gularte 30'
  • redcard Emanuel Gularte 51'
  • goal Santiago Ormeno 57'
  • goal Juan Segovia 60'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Larcamon 79'
  • goal Daniel Aguilar 86'
  • goal Daniel Alvarez 89'