Liga MX | Gameweek 1

Jan 13, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
2 - 2
Toluca

Gularte (7', 7'), Nicolas Ortiz (56', 56')
Barbieri (33'), Barbieri (33'), Nicolas Ortiz (45+5'), Nicolas Ortiz (45+5'), Allison (87'), Allison (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lopez (66', 66'), Pereira (90+6', 90+6')
Lopez (73'), Araujo (73'), Lopez (73'), Araujo (73')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Monterrey
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-0 Toluca
Saturday, November 11 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
33.1% ( 0.05)	25.4% ( -0.01)	41.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

0.03)

48.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

0.03)

70.23% (

-0.03)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.04)

27.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.05)

63.23% (

-0.06)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.01)

23.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-0.01)

56.83% (

Score Analysis

Queretaro 33.1%

Toluca 41.5%

Draw 25.4%

Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.5%