Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.