Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 1.06am UK

Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
1 - 0
Toluca

Intriago (68', 68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mosquera (90+4'), Mosquera (90+4')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 4-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca
Monday, November 6 at 12.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
36.04% ( 0.28)	23.37% ( 0.36)	40.59% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 63.72% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

-1.76)

37.89% (

1.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

-1.91)

60.14% (

1.91)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.66)

21.24% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85% (

-1.03)

54.15% (

1.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

-1.01)

19.09% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-1.71)

50.71% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 36.04%

Toluca 40.59%

Draw 23.37%

Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.04%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 40.59%