Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
3 - 1
Santos Laguna

Almada (5', 5'), Amarilla (45+3', 45+3'), Colman (83', 83')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Preciado (22', 22')
Rodriguez (80'), Rodriguez (80'), Prieto (90+1'), Prieto (90+1')
Aquino (59'), Aquino (59')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Queretaro
Saturday, October 28 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 5-1 Juarez
Monday, October 30 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawSantos Laguna
36.26% (0.927 0.93)23.57% (0.613 0.61)40.17% (-1.543 -1.54)
Both teams to score 63% (-2.19 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16% (-2.92 -2.92)38.83% (2.916 2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85% (-3.143 -3.14)61.14% (3.14 3.14)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.858 -0.86)21.56% (0.854 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (-1.332 -1.33)54.63% (1.33 1.33)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-1.895 -1.9)19.68% (1.891 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-3.17 -3.17)51.67% (3.167 3.17)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 36.26%
    Santos Laguna 40.17%
    Draw 23.57%
MazatlanDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.233 0.23)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 5% (0.427 0.43)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.26%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.57 0.57)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.559 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.537 0.54)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.17%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3am
Oct 3, 2022 12.05am
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
1-0
Santos Laguna
Antonio Padilla (70'), Diaz (88'), Rubio (90+3')
Lozano (65'), Doria (90'), Preciado (90+2')
Torres (64')
Oct 3, 2021 1.06am
Gameweek 12
Santos Laguna
1-0
Mazatlan
Lozano (45' pen.)
Jan 23, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
0-0
Santos Laguna
Reyes (67'), Meraz (90+1')
Gorriaran (22')