Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.