Liga MX | Gameweek 2

Jan 20, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Baeza (37'), Meneses (61', 86'), Volpi (90+6' pen.)
Baeza (10'), Garcia (14'), Huerta (33'), Belmonte (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Montano (16' pen.)
Colula (30'), Intriago (44')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Toluca
Saturday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 13 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
60.14% ( 0.11)	20.22% ( -0.03)	19.64% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.39% (

0.05)

35.61% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

0.05)

57.66% (

-0.05)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

0.05)

11.56% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

0.1)

36.49% (

-0.1)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

-0.04)

31.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

-0.05)

67.75% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Toluca 60.14%

Mazatlan 19.64%

Draw 20.22%

Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.14%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.22%	1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.64%