Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santos Laguna in this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Mazatlan
58.49% ( 0.08)	21.06% ( -0.02)	20.46% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.6% (

0.02)

38.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.31% (

0.02)

60.69% (

-0.02)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

0.03)

12.9% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.68% (

0.06)

39.31% (

-0.06)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.05)

32.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

-0.05)

68.72% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 58.49%

Mazatlan 20.46%

Draw 21.06%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 58.49%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.06%	1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.46%