Liga MX | Gameweek 2

Jan 20, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Necaxa

Cavallini (59' pen., 59' pen.)
Olmedo (90+4'), Olmedo (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (79', 79'), Cambindo (83', 83')
Arce (27'), Arce (27'), Montes (56'), Montes (56'), Colorado (81'), Colorado (81')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Puebla
Sunday, January 14 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 2-1 Atlas
Monday, January 15 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Necaxa
44.4% ( 0.34)	24.66% ( -0.07)	30.93% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

0.2)

45.55% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

0.19)

67.88% (

-0.19)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

0.24)

20.6% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

0.37)

53.15% (

-0.37)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

-0.08)

27.83% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.1)

63.43% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Puebla 44.4%

Necaxa 30.93%

Draw 24.66%

Puebla	Draw	Necaxa
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.93%