Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.