Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.