CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Cementos Progreso

Comunicaciones
1 - 4
Monterrey

Mejia (29', 29')
Saravia (79'), Saravia (79'), Gonzalez (90'), Gonzalez (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Berterame (22', 22'), Gonzalez (52', 52'), Gallardo (72', 72'), Aguirre (85', 85')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Comunicaciones and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comunicaciones

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, February 4 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Comunicaciones had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Comunicaciones win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
ComunicacionesDrawMonterrey
26.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.78% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)79.3% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Comunicaciones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.012 0.01)37.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.012 0.01)74.59% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.01700000000001 0.02)25.7% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.61% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Comunicaciones 26.83%
    Monterrey 45.68%
    Draw 27.48%
ComunicacionesDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.83%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 13.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 45.68%