Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Comunicaciones had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Comunicaciones win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.