Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2024 at 11.06pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 2
Necaxa

Santos (6', 63')
Calvo (67'), Saucedo (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paradela (31'), Mendez (90+7')
Garnica (76'), Mendez (85'), Cortez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Juarez
Monday, January 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 2-2 Necaxa
Thursday, February 1 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawNecaxa
44.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)26.57% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)28.67% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.96% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.248 0.25)54.53% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.206 0.21)75.88% (-0.205 -0.2)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (0.088000000000008 0.09)24.26% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (0.123 0.12)58.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (0.20999999999999 0.21)34.04% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (0.224 0.22)70.72% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 44.75%
    Necaxa 28.67%
    Draw 26.57%
JuarezDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-1
Juarez
Batista (16' pen.)
Jurado (26'), Arce (43'), Andrade Rivera (45+6'), Poggi (90+6'), Gudino (90+7')
Chancellor (45+8' og.)
Zapata (18'), Hurtado (35'), Mosquera (90+7')
Mar 13, 2023 3.15am
Gameweek 11
Juarez
1-1
Necaxa
Molina (68')
Mendez (52')
Jul 23, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Mendez (21'), Gimenez (43'), Esquivel (59'), Poggi (90+1'), Malagon (90+5')
Mendez (72')
Acosta (45+1'), Salas (70')
Acosta (80')
Jan 8, 2022 1am
Gameweek 1
Juarez
2-1
Necaxa

Alvarado (18'), Acosta (63'), Gomez (83'), Esquivel (90+3'), Garcia (90+6'), Olivera (90+9')
Alvarado (47' og.)
Zendejas (23'), Villalpando (35'), Malagon (48'), Oliveros (90+10')
Malagon (50')
Aug 23, 2021 1am
Gameweek 6
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (84')
rhs 2.0


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