Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 25, 2024 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
0 - 2
America


Garcia (2'), Garcia (2'), Ortiz (43'), Ortiz (43'), Mosquera (53'), Mosquera (53'), Garcia (57'), Garcia (57'), Salas (90+5'), Salas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valdes (16', 16'), Fidalgo (84', 84')
Jardine (0'), Alvarez (75'), Alvarez (75')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 0-0 Cruz Azul
Saturday, January 20 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawClub America
25.08% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)24.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03)50.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)49.7% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.136 -0.14)71.72% (0.133 0.13)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.104 -0.1)34.36% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.111 -0.11)71.06% (0.107 0.11)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.84% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (-0.101 -0.1)51.92% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 25.08%
    Club America 50.14%
    Draw 24.76%
JuarezDrawClub America
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.14% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.14%

Head to Head
Jul 1, 2023 2am
Gameweek 1
America
1-2
Juarez
Suarez (15')
Sanchez (50'), Suarez (59')
Garcia (86'), Zapata (90+5')
Sosa Heredia (44'), Ortega (75')
Apr 29, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 17
Juarez
0-1
America
Sanchez (36')
Aug 8, 2022 2.05am
Gameweek 7
America
2-1
Juarez
Martin (60', 64')
Zendejas (13')
Medina (90')
Salcedo (73')
Apr 10, 2022 3am
Gameweek 13
America
3-0
Juarez
Zendejas (27'), Vinas (30'), Valdes (90+2')
Aug 19, 2021 3am
Gameweek 5
Juarez
1-2
America
Galvan (31')
Martinez (33'), Fidalgo (53')
rhs 2.0


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